Every call, graded in public
The record.
Ten sessions after the signal, graded November 4, 2026
Tier 1 at the signal, which is what Buy now means
59% beat SPUS over ten sessions
22 calls on 15 names, August 18, 2026 to October 8, 2026. Average move +2.4%; against SPUS +1.5% on average, +1.8% at the median; 55% finished up.
Every Buy signal
47% beat SPUS over ten sessions
79 calls on 47 names, August 12, 2026 to October 19, 2026. Average move +0.1%; against SPUS -0.1% on average, -0.5% at the median; 44% finished up.
Every Buy signal is an event on the first day it fires. Grade = close ten trading days later against the close on the signal day, minus SPUS over the same days. Tier 1 at the signal is the subset the public Buy now corresponds to. Source: signal_grader.py event study, run on the date shown. 9 Buy signals are still inside their ten-session window.
Every name flagged since August 12, 2026, priced to November 3, 2026
Flagged Buy at some point: 49 names
73% went on to gain 5% or more (36 of 49); 61% gained 10% or more; 14 gained 20% or more. Median peak +12.9%.
31% are above the flag price today (15 of 49); the median name is -14.1% from its flag price; 31% are ahead of SPUS since the flag.
Everything flagged, Buy or Watch: 148 names
62% went on to gain 5% or more (92 of 148); 48% gained 10% or more; 35 gained 20% or more. Median peak +9.4%.
29% are above the flag price today (43 of 148); the median name is -12.1% from its flag price; 29% are ahead of SPUS since the flag.
The biggest runs after a flag
| Name | Flagged | As | Peak after the flag | Peak day | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNA | August 12, 2026 | Buy | +87% | November 3, 2026 | +87% |
| IOVA | August 27, 2026 | Watch | +80% | October 20, 2026 | +7% |
| MXL | August 20, 2026 | Watch | +67% | October 6, 2026 | -2% |
| TXG | August 21, 2026 | Watch | +50% | October 5, 2026 | +0% |
| BE | August 20, 2026 | Watch | +46% | October 6, 2026 | +6% |
| DHT | August 26, 2026 | Buy | +45% | October 13, 2026 | +31% |
| FIGS | August 27, 2026 | Buy | +43% | October 29, 2026 | +38% |
| CAI | August 31, 2026 | Watch | +42% | October 29, 2026 | +29% |
| TWST | August 21, 2026 | Watch | +41% | October 5, 2026 | -4% |
| INTC | August 20, 2026 | Watch | +38% | September 24, 2026 | -34% |
| OKTA | August 27, 2026 | Watch | +34% | October 9, 2026 | +10% |
| ARM | August 20, 2026 | Watch | +33% | September 22, 2026 | -19% |
Read both columns. The model flags names that move. Holding them well is the part still being built: the exit rule is the next piece of the standard, and this table is what it will be graded against.
Peak is the highest close after the flag, which is hindsight; it is published only beside today's price. Prices from the daily closes; SPUS is the halal S&P 500 fund. Funds, graded the same way since October 19, 2026: 25% of 20 chart-check passes went on to gain 5% or more; 35% are above their pass price today.
The rule, before the results
- A Buy signal goes on the record the day it fires, at that day's close. Ten trading days later it is graded against SPUS over the same days.
- A fund that passes the chart checks is recorded the same way from the day it first passes.
- If a name drops off, it stays in the record with its grade. Nothing here is deleted or rewritten.
- The exit rule is the next piece of the standard; until it lands, the flag record is graded without one, which is the harder test.